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The New York Times live election needle has an early projection favoring former President Donald Trump winning the electoral college. The needle launched shortly after 8 p.m. ET — and for more ...

By The New York Times This article was written by The Times’s Election Analytics team, which operates the election night statistical model known as the Needle. The 2024 Needle is live.

The New York Times’ Needle lives: The newspaper’s popular election-prediction gauge made its return on Tuesday night — despite the ongoing strike called Monday by the union representing tech ...

Update: At around 8:20 p.m. the Needle returned. “The Needle is live!” New York Times analyst Nate Cohn wrote in the Times’ live blog. Cohn said in tweets earlier Tuesday afternoon that the Needle may ...

The New York Times' popular election "Needle" may not be available on Election Night, as the publication's technology guild remains on strike. The Times' needle estimates the final outcome of an ...

As such, the Needle may or may not make an appearance on Tuesday. As a result, I do not know whether we will be able to publish the needle. There are good reasons to bet against it, though perhaps ...

Update: At about 8:30 p.m. ET, The New York Times’ Needle went live. On its web page, it said the election was “a tossup,” but it nonetheless estimated Trump to win 279 electoral votes ...

The New York Times introduced the needle in 2016 when its dramatic swing away from predicting a likely win for Hillary Clinton induced anxiety and criticism from many following along. In 2020, the ...

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