Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this ...

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, ...

Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In ...

Will the candidate who is leading actually win? That’s the overriding question when watching vote returns come in on election night — especially in a race that’s expected to be close. And with ...

North Carolina's 2020 election for president is the reference race for the state's benchmark calculations.

Nevada's 2020 election for president is the reference race for the state's benchmark calculations.

Maryland's 2018 election for governor is the reference race for the state's benchmark calculations.

Ohio's 2022 election for U.S. Senate is the reference race for the state's benchmark calculations.